From Lowest Low of the Season, To How It Helps Liverpool Win the League
Window closes, big door opens
Assuming that Liverpool haven’t become a bad team overnight (and that finishing chances is random, and will return, at the same time as the four or five returning key players), the 99% chance of exiting the Europa League has closed a window to swing a huge door wide open.
The utterly brutal run-ins that the three title-chasers faced had Liverpool with the easiest on paper, but all three had game-game-game-game (add six more games), up until mid-May. Man City’s Rodri is already complaining of tiredness, and the run-in hasn’t even really got going.
Now, one team has the advantage of a break.
I’m all about finding positives, but based with reality; so I’d give Liverpool a 1% chance of reaching the Europa League semis. As such, I’ll work on likelihoods and probabilities, as normal. So, to me, Liverpool are out of Europe, bar a miracle, but now in a better position in the league.
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